Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Travel LodgingSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$33.02 - $48.38$40.42
Multi-Stage$58.32 - $64.07$61.14
Blended Fair Value$50.78
Current Price$79.90
Upside-36.44%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.73%0.00%1.561.511.491.050.681.432.380.000.000.00
YoY Growth--3.39%1.72%41.46%54.72%-52.68%-39.78%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.73%2.00%2.19%1.24%0.97%4.55%4.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)338.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)126.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)212.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)67.6042.2525.35
Cash Retained (M)212.00212.00212.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-67.60-42.25-25.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)144.40169.75186.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)78.1078.1078.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.852.172.39
LTM Dividend per Share1.611.611.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.852.172.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.463.794.00
WACC / Discount Rate8.27%8.27%8.27%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$33.02$40.42$48.38
Upside / Downside-58.67%-49.41%-39.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)338.00334.62331.27327.96324.68321.43331.08
Payout Ratio37.28%47.82%58.37%68.91%79.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)126.00160.02193.35226.00257.98289.29306.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.27%8.27%8.27%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)146.30147.79149.29
Year 2 PV (M)161.62164.93168.28
Year 3 PV (M)172.71178.05183.50
Year 4 PV (M)180.24187.71195.41
Year 5 PV (M)184.79194.41204.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,709.023,902.164,103.26
Equity Value (M)4,554.674,775.055,004.16
Shares Outstanding (M)78.1078.1078.10
Fair Value$58.32$61.14$64.07
Upside / Downside-27.01%-23.48%-19.81%

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