Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Nuveen Real Estate Income Fund (JRS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - IncomeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.54 - $10.60$9.06
Multi-Stage$16.87 - $18.52$17.67
Blended Fair Value$13.37
Current Price$7.78
Upside71.84%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-2.20%-2.59%0.680.680.840.760.760.760.851.000.980.96
YoY Growth--0.00%-18.66%10.00%0.00%0.00%-10.06%-15.50%2.04%2.08%8.63%
Dividend Yield--7.88%8.70%11.06%5.93%9.00%7.16%9.99%8.90%9.10%9.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)35.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)32.01
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.134.462.67
Cash Retained (M)3.643.643.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.13-4.46-2.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)-3.49-0.820.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)28.8928.8928.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.12-0.030.03
LTM Dividend per Share1.111.111.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.12-0.030.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.991.081.14
WACC / Discount Rate7.90%7.90%7.90%
Growth Rate-4.59%-3.59%-2.59%
Fair Value$7.54$9.06$10.60
Upside / Downside-3.04%16.49%36.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)35.6534.3733.1431.9530.8129.7030.59
Payout Ratio89.79%89.83%89.87%89.91%89.96%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)32.0130.8829.7828.7327.7126.7328.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.90%7.90%7.90%
Growth Rate-4.59%-3.59%-2.59%
Year 1 PV (M)28.3228.6228.91
Year 2 PV (M)25.0525.5826.12
Year 3 PV (M)22.1722.8723.59
Year 4 PV (M)19.6120.4521.31
Year 5 PV (M)17.3518.2819.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)374.82394.88415.79
Equity Value (M)487.32510.67534.96
Shares Outstanding (M)28.8928.8928.89
Fair Value$16.87$17.67$18.52
Upside / Downside116.80%127.18%137.99%

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