Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Epsilon Energy Ltd. (EPSN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.74 - $2.46$2.09
Multi-Stage$2.90 - $3.17$3.03
Blended Fair Value$2.56
Current Price$7.38
Upside-65.28%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.250.250.270.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---2.03%-4.46%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.51%4.61%4.96%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.180.730.44
Cash Retained (M)0.470.470.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.18-0.73-0.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.70-0.260.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.1222.1222.12
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.03-0.010.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.03-0.010.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.210.230.25
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.74$2.09$2.46
Upside / Downside-76.45%-71.61%-66.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5.885.825.765.705.655.595.76
Payout Ratio91.92%91.54%91.15%90.77%90.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.405.335.255.185.105.035.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)4.794.844.89
Year 2 PV (M)4.254.344.43
Year 3 PV (M)3.773.894.01
Year 4 PV (M)3.353.493.63
Year 5 PV (M)2.973.133.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)45.0047.3449.78
Equity Value (M)64.1467.0370.03
Shares Outstanding (M)22.1222.1222.12
Fair Value$2.90$3.03$3.17
Upside / Downside-60.71%-58.94%-57.10%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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