Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

PT Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk (CITA.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,404.36 - $7,651.58$6,514.18
Multi-Stage$8,508.09 - $9,315.74$8,904.22
Blended Fair Value$7,709.20
Current Price$4,000.00
Upside92.73%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%117.0010.0055.0091.0093.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--1,070.00%-81.82%-39.56%-2.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.95%0.44%1.51%3.01%3.36%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,276,000.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,762,360.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,513,639.39
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)655,200.03409,500.02245,700.01
Cash Retained (M)1,513,639.391,513,639.391,513,639.39
(-) Cash Required (M)-655,200.03-409,500.02-245,700.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)858,439.361,104,139.371,267,939.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,960.363,960.363,960.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share216.76278.80320.16
LTM Dividend per Share445.00445.00445.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share216.76278.80320.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend661.76723.80765.16
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5,404.36$6,514.18$7,651.58
Upside / Downside35.11%62.85%91.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,276,000.153,243,240.153,210,807.753,178,699.673,146,912.673,115,443.543,208,906.85
Payout Ratio53.80%61.04%68.28%75.52%82.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,762,360.761,979,572.952,192,264.652,400,504.572,604,360.472,803,899.192,968,238.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1,781,433.871,799,611.771,817,789.66
Year 2 PV (M)1,775,372.031,811,788.971,848,575.63
Year 3 PV (M)1,749,432.241,803,534.611,858,741.08
Year 4 PV (M)1,708,023.641,778,813.241,851,780.79
Year 5 PV (M)1,654,829.961,741,000.791,830,724.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)25,026,019.7426,329,182.6527,686,075.85
Equity Value (M)33,695,111.4835,263,932.0436,893,687.53
Shares Outstanding (M)3,960.363,960.363,960.36
Fair Value$8,508.09$8,904.22$9,315.74
Upside / Downside112.70%122.61%132.89%

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