Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Taste Gourmet Group Limited (8371.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RestaurantsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$37.35 - $65.56$61.44
Multi-Stage$10.56 - $11.55$11.05
Blended Fair Value$36.24
Current Price$1.90
Upside1,807.51%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS34.88%0.00%0.130.110.060.080.010.030.040.000.060.00
YoY Growth--25.50%66.35%-21.31%443.43%-50.00%-21.76%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--8.22%7.42%4.40%7.87%1.29%2.35%4.43%0.00%7.17%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)125.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)67.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)58.61
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)25.1815.749.44
Cash Retained (M)58.6158.6158.61
(-) Cash Required (M)-25.18-15.74-9.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)33.4342.8749.17
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)381.91381.91381.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.110.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.180.180.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.110.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.260.290.30
WACC / Discount Rate6.24%6.24%6.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$37.35$61.44$65.56
Upside / Downside1,865.88%3,133.56%3,350.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)125.90134.08142.79152.07161.96172.49177.66
Payout Ratio53.44%60.76%68.07%75.38%82.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)67.2881.4697.19114.63133.92155.24164.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.24%6.24%6.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)75.9576.6777.39
Year 2 PV (M)84.4986.1087.73
Year 3 PV (M)92.9195.5898.30
Year 4 PV (M)101.21105.10109.11
Year 5 PV (M)109.39114.67120.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,568.723,741.093,920.06
Equity Value (M)4,032.694,219.234,412.75
Shares Outstanding (M)381.91381.91381.91
Fair Value$10.56$11.05$11.55
Upside / Downside455.75%481.46%508.13%

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