Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Al Maather Reit Fund (4334.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.46 - $15.51$12.87
Multi-Stage$18.69 - $20.46$19.56
Blended Fair Value$16.21
Current Price$9.01
Upside79.96%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.62%0.00%0.660.491.010.390.620.640.260.000.000.00
YoY Growth--34.69%-51.49%158.97%-37.10%-3.13%146.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.96%5.25%12.11%4.35%6.97%7.30%3.42%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)79.44
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)70.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)8.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.899.935.96
Cash Retained (M)8.568.568.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.89-9.93-5.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)-7.33-1.372.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)61.3761.3761.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.12-0.020.04
LTM Dividend per Share1.161.161.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.12-0.020.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.041.131.20
WACC / Discount Rate8.39%8.39%8.39%
Growth Rate-1.38%-0.38%0.62%
Fair Value$10.46$12.87$15.51
Upside / Downside16.05%42.84%72.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)79.4479.1478.8478.5478.2377.9480.27
Payout Ratio89.22%89.38%89.53%89.69%89.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)70.8870.7370.5970.4470.2970.1474.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.39%8.39%8.39%
Growth Rate-1.38%-0.38%0.62%
Year 1 PV (M)64.6165.2665.92
Year 2 PV (M)58.8960.0961.30
Year 3 PV (M)53.6755.3257.00
Year 4 PV (M)48.9250.9353.01
Year 5 PV (M)44.5946.9049.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)876.54921.90969.11
Equity Value (M)1,147.221,200.401,255.64
Shares Outstanding (M)61.3761.3761.37
Fair Value$18.69$19.56$20.46
Upside / Downside107.47%117.09%127.08%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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