Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Datang Environment Industry Group Co., Ltd. (1272.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Waste ManagementSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.25 - $3.25$2.74
Multi-Stage$4.36 - $4.79$4.57
Blended Fair Value$3.65
Current Price$1.08
Upside238.10%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.93%0.00%0.090.040.030.150.010.100.020.110.030.00
YoY Growth--108.34%72.06%-82.86%2,380.86%-93.74%293.87%-77.45%270.94%488.24%0.00%
Dividend Yield--10.66%5.74%3.03%16.73%0.89%7.97%1.40%4.64%1.01%0.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,076.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)454.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)621.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)215.23134.5280.71
Cash Retained (M)621.20621.20621.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-215.23-134.52-80.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)405.97486.68540.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,414.963,414.963,414.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.120.140.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.130.130.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.120.140.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.250.280.29
WACC / Discount Rate7.96%7.96%7.96%
Growth Rate-2.93%-1.93%-0.93%
Fair Value$2.25$2.74$3.25
Upside / Downside108.14%153.26%200.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,076.161,055.431,035.111,015.17995.62976.441,005.73
Payout Ratio42.28%51.82%61.37%70.91%80.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)454.96546.94635.20719.86801.03878.80930.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.96%7.96%7.96%
Growth Rate-2.93%-1.93%-0.93%
Year 1 PV (M)501.44506.61511.77
Year 2 PV (M)533.92544.98556.15
Year 3 PV (M)554.75572.07589.75
Year 4 PV (M)565.95589.63614.05
Year 5 PV (M)569.25599.18630.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,147.5312,786.2413,451.54
Equity Value (M)14,872.8515,598.7116,353.62
Shares Outstanding (M)3,414.963,414.963,414.96
Fair Value$4.36$4.57$4.79
Upside / Downside303.26%322.94%343.41%

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