Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

PC Partner Group Limited (1263.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$39.81 - $138.59$65.69
Multi-Stage$26.57 - $28.98$27.75
Blended Fair Value$46.72
Current Price$6.82
Upside585.04%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%24.97%0.400.352.411.060.000.000.590.210.040.05
YoY Growth--14.29%-85.47%127.73%0.00%0.00%-100.00%181.56%452.35%-22.22%12.50%
Dividend Yield--8.03%10.97%48.76%7.73%0.00%0.00%33.67%5.67%1.72%7.12%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)553.23
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)349.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)204.14
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)110.6569.1541.49
Cash Retained (M)204.14204.14204.14
(-) Cash Required (M)-110.65-69.15-41.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)93.49134.98162.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)387.88387.88387.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.350.42
LTM Dividend per Share0.900.900.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.350.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.141.251.32
WACC / Discount Rate8.52%8.52%8.52%
Growth Rate5.49%6.49%7.49%
Fair Value$39.81$65.69$138.59
Upside / Downside483.78%863.14%1,932.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)553.23589.15627.40668.13711.51757.70780.43
Payout Ratio63.10%68.48%73.86%79.24%84.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)349.10403.45463.40529.43602.08681.93721.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.52%8.52%8.52%
Growth Rate5.49%6.49%7.49%
Year 1 PV (M)368.30371.79375.28
Year 2 PV (M)386.17393.52400.95
Year 3 PV (M)402.75414.32426.10
Year 4 PV (M)418.11434.20450.74
Year 5 PV (M)432.31453.19474.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,297.248,698.029,114.15
Equity Value (M)10,304.8810,765.0411,242.09
Shares Outstanding (M)387.88387.88387.88
Fair Value$26.57$27.75$28.98
Upside / Downside289.54%306.94%324.97%

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