Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Lion Rock Group Limited (1127.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.45 - $27.45$16.95
Multi-Stage$8.51 - $9.29$8.89
Blended Fair Value$12.92
Current Price$1.38
Upside836.45%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.02%6.48%0.120.130.090.080.040.100.100.090.070.07
YoY Growth---2.59%44.44%12.50%92.31%-60.00%5.26%5.56%28.57%0.00%7.69%
Dividend Yield--9.68%11.57%9.57%9.32%5.09%8.70%7.22%5.83%5.28%6.72%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)404.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)191.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)213.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)80.9150.5730.34
Cash Retained (M)213.46213.46213.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-80.91-50.57-30.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)132.55162.89183.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)756.54756.54756.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.220.24
LTM Dividend per Share0.250.250.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.220.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.430.470.49
WACC / Discount Rate9.26%9.26%9.26%
Growth Rate5.32%6.32%7.32%
Fair Value$11.45$16.95$27.45
Upside / Downside729.89%1,128.61%1,888.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)404.54430.12457.32486.24516.99549.68566.17
Payout Ratio47.23%55.79%64.34%72.89%81.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)191.08239.95294.24354.44421.07494.71523.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.26%9.26%9.26%
Growth Rate5.32%6.32%7.32%
Year 1 PV (M)217.56219.62221.69
Year 2 PV (M)241.88246.49251.15
Year 3 PV (M)264.16271.76279.50
Year 4 PV (M)284.53295.49306.77
Year 5 PV (M)303.09317.76332.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,127.365,375.435,633.02
Equity Value (M)6,438.576,726.557,025.10
Shares Outstanding (M)756.54756.54756.54
Fair Value$8.51$8.89$9.29
Upside / Downside516.70%544.29%572.88%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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