Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Dream International Limited (1126.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: LeisureSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$44.20 - $96.42$63.38
Multi-Stage$33.32 - $36.32$34.80
Blended Fair Value$49.09
Current Price$9.76
Upside402.94%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS37.97%21.26%0.550.500.200.120.120.110.040.040.010.08
YoY Growth--10.00%150.00%66.67%0.00%9.09%175.00%0.00%299.99%-87.50%0.00%
Dividend Yield--11.04%12.82%7.19%4.29%4.27%3.00%0.92%1.23%0.47%5.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,541.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)778.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)763.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)308.30192.69115.61
Cash Retained (M)763.13763.13763.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-308.30-192.69-115.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)454.82570.44647.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)676.87676.87676.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.670.840.96
LTM Dividend per Share1.151.151.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.670.840.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.821.992.11
WACC / Discount Rate9.85%9.85%9.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$44.20$63.38$96.42
Upside / Downside352.89%549.37%887.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,541.521,641.721,748.431,862.081,983.122,112.022,175.38
Payout Ratio50.50%58.40%66.30%74.20%82.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)778.40958.701,159.161,381.631,628.121,900.822,012.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.85%9.85%9.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)864.55872.75880.94
Year 2 PV (M)942.67960.63978.75
Year 3 PV (M)1,013.251,042.341,071.97
Year 4 PV (M)1,076.761,118.171,160.76
Year 5 PV (M)1,133.661,188.411,245.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,523.3418,369.7219,248.50
Equity Value (M)22,554.2323,552.0224,586.19
Shares Outstanding (M)676.87676.87676.87
Fair Value$33.32$34.80$36.32
Upside / Downside241.41%256.51%272.17%

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