Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

International Bancshares Corporation (IBOC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$147.07 - $358.09$218.86
Multi-Stage$102.85 - $112.37$107.53
Blended Fair Value$163.19
Current Price$68.75
Upside137.37%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.63%8.97%1.321.261.211.171.121.100.800.700.640.62
YoY Growth--4.90%3.81%3.48%4.16%1.83%38.45%13.77%10.17%2.74%10.80%
Dividend Yield--2.09%2.25%2.83%2.77%2.42%4.10%2.03%1.80%1.79%2.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)420.49
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)87.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)333.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)84.1052.5631.54
Cash Retained (M)333.43333.43333.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-84.10-52.56-31.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)249.33280.87301.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)62.2762.2762.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.004.514.85
LTM Dividend per Share1.401.401.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.004.514.85
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.405.916.25
WACC / Discount Rate9.38%9.38%9.38%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$147.07$218.86$358.09
Upside / Downside113.92%218.35%420.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)420.49447.83476.93507.93540.95576.11593.40
Payout Ratio20.70%34.56%48.42%62.28%76.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)87.06154.78230.94316.35411.88518.50548.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.38%9.38%9.38%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)140.19141.52142.85
Year 2 PV (M)189.44193.05196.69
Year 3 PV (M)235.03241.78248.65
Year 4 PV (M)277.15287.81298.77
Year 5 PV (M)315.99331.25347.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,247.155,500.595,763.73
Equity Value (M)6,404.956,695.996,997.79
Shares Outstanding (M)62.2762.2762.27
Fair Value$102.85$107.53$112.37
Upside / Downside49.60%56.40%63.45%

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