Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Fortress Capital Acquisition Corp. (FCAX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Shell CompaniesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.19 - $7.35$6.26
Multi-Stage$7.57 - $8.32$7.94
Blended Fair Value$7.10
Current Price$9.95
Upside-28.68%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)39.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)37.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.954.972.98
Cash Retained (M)37.3037.3037.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.95-4.97-2.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)29.3632.3434.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)50.0050.0050.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.590.650.69
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.590.650.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.640.700.73
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5.19$6.26$7.35
Upside / Downside-47.83%-37.12%-26.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)39.7339.3338.9438.5538.1637.7838.91
Payout Ratio6.11%22.89%39.66%56.44%73.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.439.0015.4421.7627.9434.0035.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)8.108.188.27
Year 2 PV (M)12.5112.7613.02
Year 3 PV (M)15.8616.3516.85
Year 4 PV (M)18.3319.0919.87
Year 5 PV (M)20.0721.1122.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)303.48319.29335.74
Equity Value (M)378.34396.78415.94
Shares Outstanding (M)50.0050.0050.00
Fair Value$7.57$7.94$8.32
Upside / Downside-23.95%-20.25%-16.39%

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