Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

FBD Holdings plc (EG7.IR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$40.94 - $69.60$53.40
Multi-Stage$45.63 - $49.81$47.68
Blended Fair Value$50.54
Current Price$13.90
Upside263.61%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS32.30%15.16%1.971.970.980.000.000.490.240.000.000.33
YoY Growth--0.08%100.01%0.00%0.00%-100.00%105.93%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-31.73%
Dividend Yield--15.56%17.33%8.90%0.00%0.00%5.58%2.86%0.00%0.00%4.96%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)118.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)72.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)45.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23.6514.788.87
Cash Retained (M)45.5745.5745.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-23.65-14.78-8.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)21.9130.7836.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36.4836.4836.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.600.841.01
LTM Dividend per Share1.991.991.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.600.841.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.592.843.00
WACC / Discount Rate9.47%9.47%9.47%
Growth Rate2.95%3.95%4.95%
Fair Value$40.94$53.40$69.60
Upside / Downside194.52%284.17%400.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)118.25122.93127.79132.84138.09143.54147.85
Payout Ratio61.47%67.17%72.88%78.59%84.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)72.6982.5893.13104.39116.40129.19136.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.47%9.47%9.47%
Growth Rate2.95%3.95%4.95%
Year 1 PV (M)74.7075.4376.16
Year 2 PV (M)76.2277.7179.21
Year 3 PV (M)77.2979.5781.89
Year 4 PV (M)77.9781.0484.21
Year 5 PV (M)78.2982.1686.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,280.251,343.641,409.53
Equity Value (M)1,664.731,739.561,817.18
Shares Outstanding (M)36.4836.4836.48
Fair Value$45.63$47.68$49.81
Upside / Downside228.29%243.04%258.35%

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