Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Roiserv Lifestyle Services Co., Ltd. (2146.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.05 - $5.75$4.89
Multi-Stage$6.12 - $6.72$6.41
Blended Fair Value$5.65
Current Price$1.26
Upside348.56%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS109.71%0.00%0.070.070.250.150.420.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--2.06%-71.87%67.29%-64.54%23,714.49%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.29%4.39%11.26%3.44%4.07%0.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)231.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)55.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)176.04
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)46.3628.9817.39
Cash Retained (M)176.04176.04176.04
(-) Cash Required (M)-46.36-28.98-17.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)129.67147.06158.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)375.92375.92375.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.340.390.42
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.340.390.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.490.540.57
WACC / Discount Rate9.92%9.92%9.92%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.05$4.89$5.75
Upside / Downside221.79%288.09%356.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)231.82229.51227.21224.94222.69220.46227.08
Payout Ratio24.06%37.25%50.44%63.63%76.81%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)55.7985.50114.60143.12171.05198.42210.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.92%9.92%9.92%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)76.9977.7878.56
Year 2 PV (M)92.9494.8496.77
Year 3 PV (M)104.52107.75111.05
Year 4 PV (M)112.49117.15121.96
Year 5 PV (M)117.51123.62130.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,796.381,889.931,987.32
Equity Value (M)2,300.822,411.072,525.66
Shares Outstanding (M)375.92375.92375.92
Fair Value$6.12$6.41$6.72
Upside / Downside385.76%409.03%433.23%

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