Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Mediaset España Comunicación, S.A. (TL5.MC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BroadcastingSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.89 - $7.17$5.98
Multi-Stage$6.51 - $7.15$6.82
Blended Fair Value$6.40
Current Price$3.92
Upside63.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS-65.51%-34.07%0.000.000.000.330.650.580.550.160.000.00
YoY Growth---42.76%0.00%-100.00%-49.39%12.39%4.97%252.13%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.11%0.00%9.68%9.68%6.95%4.53%1.54%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)191.03
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)191.03
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)38.2123.8814.33
Cash Retained (M)191.03191.03191.03
(-) Cash Required (M)-38.21-23.88-14.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)152.82167.15176.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)305.52305.52305.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.500.550.58
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.500.550.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.500.550.58
WACC / Discount Rate9.88%9.88%9.88%
Growth Rate-0.32%0.68%1.68%
Fair Value$4.89$5.98$7.17
Upside / Downside24.64%52.65%82.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)191.03192.32193.62194.93196.25197.57203.50
Payout Ratio0.00%18.00%36.00%54.00%72.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.0034.6269.70105.26141.30177.82188.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.88%9.88%9.88%
Growth Rate-0.32%0.68%1.68%
Year 1 PV (M)31.1931.5131.82
Year 2 PV (M)56.5957.7358.88
Year 3 PV (M)77.0079.3481.73
Year 4 PV (M)93.1396.93100.84
Year 5 PV (M)105.61111.01116.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,624.741,707.901,794.42
Equity Value (M)1,988.272,084.412,184.32
Shares Outstanding (M)305.52305.52305.52
Fair Value$6.51$6.82$7.15
Upside / Downside66.02%74.05%82.39%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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