Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Investment AB Spiltan (SPLTN.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Investment - Banking & Investment ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$292.04 - $459.03$368.64
Multi-Stage$700.48 - $772.76$735.90
Blended Fair Value$552.27
Current Price$207.50
Upside166.15%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.75%0.00%1.021.021.021.020.001.061.160.580.550.10
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-8.90%98.56%6.59%426.52%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.49%0.50%0.42%0.38%0.00%0.44%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)912.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)65.67
(=) Cash Retained (M)846.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)182.45114.0368.42
Cash Retained (M)846.60846.60846.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-182.45-114.03-68.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)664.15732.57778.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)30.5430.5430.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share21.7523.9925.48
LTM Dividend per Share2.152.152.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share21.7523.9925.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend23.9026.1427.63
WACC / Discount Rate6.02%6.02%6.02%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$292.04$368.64$459.03
Upside / Downside40.74%77.66%121.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)912.27903.14894.11885.17876.32867.56893.58
Payout Ratio7.20%23.76%40.32%56.88%73.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)65.67214.57360.50503.48643.57780.80826.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.02%6.02%6.02%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)200.35202.39204.43
Year 2 PV (M)314.27320.72327.23
Year 3 PV (M)409.82422.49435.43
Year 4 PV (M)489.11509.39530.28
Year 5 PV (M)554.07582.92612.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,423.5820,435.0121,488.15
Equity Value (M)21,391.2022,472.9223,598.48
Shares Outstanding (M)30.5430.5430.54
Fair Value$700.48$735.90$772.76
Upside / Downside237.58%254.65%272.41%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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