Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Mostostal Zabrze S.A. (MSZ.WA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$93.27 - $109.89$102.98
Multi-Stage$68.84 - $75.57$72.15
Blended Fair Value$87.56
Current Price$6.35
Upside1,278.97%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS26.74%66.77%0.020.010.010.000.000.010.000.000.000.12
YoY Growth--45.31%108.18%52.78%62.71%-56.51%228.23%-38.61%-22.61%-96.80%101,812.50%
Dividend Yield--0.35%0.29%0.24%0.24%0.18%1.14%0.17%0.25%0.16%3.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)37.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)35.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.594.742.85
Cash Retained (M)35.7035.7035.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.59-4.74-2.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)28.1130.9632.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)68.6668.6668.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.410.450.48
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.410.450.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.440.480.51
WACC / Discount Rate0.54%0.54%0.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$93.27$102.98$109.89
Upside / Downside1,368.85%1,521.78%1,630.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)37.9440.4043.0345.8248.8051.9853.53
Payout Ratio5.90%22.72%39.54%56.36%73.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.249.1817.0125.8335.7146.7849.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.54%0.54%0.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)9.059.139.22
Year 2 PV (M)16.5216.8317.15
Year 3 PV (M)24.7125.4226.14
Year 4 PV (M)33.6634.9636.29
Year 5 PV (M)43.4545.5447.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,599.164,821.305,051.94
Equity Value (M)4,726.544,953.185,188.46
Shares Outstanding (M)68.6668.6668.66
Fair Value$68.84$72.15$75.57
Upside / Downside984.17%1,036.15%1,090.12%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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