Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Lighthouse Properties plc (LTE.JO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.91 - $10.70$7.04
Multi-Stage$3.52 - $3.84$3.68
Blended Fair Value$5.36
Current Price$0.39
Upside1,288.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.010.010.010.000.010.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--84.39%-56.92%1,106.43%-82.42%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.86%1.70%3.97%0.25%1.83%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)480.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)53.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)427.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)96.1660.1036.06
Cash Retained (M)427.26427.26427.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-96.16-60.10-36.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)331.10367.16391.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,901.021,901.021,901.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.170.190.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.170.190.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.200.220.23
WACC / Discount Rate9.85%9.85%9.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$4.91$7.04$10.70
Upside / Downside1,171.80%1,723.40%2,673.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)480.79512.04545.32580.77618.52658.72678.48
Payout Ratio11.13%26.91%42.68%58.45%74.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)53.53137.78232.75339.48459.11592.85627.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.85%9.85%9.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)124.24125.42126.60
Year 2 PV (M)189.27192.88196.52
Year 3 PV (M)248.96256.10263.39
Year 4 PV (M)303.62315.29327.30
Year 5 PV (M)353.56370.64388.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,464.015,727.926,001.94
Equity Value (M)6,683.666,988.267,304.11
Shares Outstanding (M)1,901.021,901.021,901.02
Fair Value$3.52$3.68$3.84
Upside / Downside811.21%852.74%895.80%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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