Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk (HYGN.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$70.96 - $109.69$88.93
Multi-Stage$158.70 - $174.84$166.61
Blended Fair Value$127.77
Current Price$147.00
Upside-13.08%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%2.165.150.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---58.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.76%3.65%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)19,310.23
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,454.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)13,856.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,862.052,413.781,448.27
Cash Retained (M)13,856.2313,856.2313,856.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,862.05-2,413.78-1,448.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,994.1811,442.4512,407.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,525.002,525.002,525.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.964.534.91
LTM Dividend per Share2.162.162.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.964.534.91
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.126.697.07
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$70.96$88.93$109.69
Upside / Downside-51.73%-39.50%-25.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)19,310.2319,117.1318,925.9618,736.7018,549.3318,363.8418,914.75
Payout Ratio28.24%40.60%52.95%65.30%77.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,454.007,760.6510,020.6212,234.6214,403.3416,527.4517,496.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)7,216.837,290.477,364.11
Year 2 PV (M)8,665.458,843.209,022.75
Year 3 PV (M)9,838.6410,142.9110,453.39
Year 4 PV (M)10,771.0011,217.4111,677.55
Year 5 PV (M)11,493.3712,091.8512,715.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)352,742.84371,110.98390,236.45
Equity Value (M)400,728.14420,696.82441,469.27
Shares Outstanding (M)2,525.002,525.002,525.00
Fair Value$158.70$166.61$174.84
Upside / Downside7.96%13.34%18.94%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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