Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Harum Energy Tbk (HRUM.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: CoalSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.10 - $0.37$0.17
Multi-Stage$0.06 - $0.07$0.07
Blended Fair Value$0.12
Current Price$0.05
Upside128.49%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS38.48%3.50%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---44.29%359.15%96.49%0.00%-100.00%-84.63%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--6.37%5.58%1.08%0.36%0.00%3.24%17.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)46.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)33.15
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.295.813.48
Cash Retained (M)33.1533.1533.15
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.29-5.81-3.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)23.8627.3529.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13,268.0413,268.0413,268.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.000.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.000.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.000.000.00
WACC / Discount Rate8.44%8.44%8.44%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$0.10$0.17$0.37
Upside / Downside95.44%227.08%620.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)46.4649.4852.7056.1359.7763.6665.57
Payout Ratio28.64%40.92%53.19%65.46%77.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13.3120.2528.0336.7446.4657.2960.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.44%8.44%8.44%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)18.5018.6718.85
Year 2 PV (M)23.3923.8424.29
Year 3 PV (M)28.0128.8129.63
Year 4 PV (M)32.3633.6034.88
Year 5 PV (M)36.4538.2140.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)709.46743.72779.30
Equity Value (M)848.16886.86926.99
Shares Outstanding (M)13,268.0413,268.0413,268.04
Fair Value$0.06$0.07$0.07
Upside / Downside24.22%29.89%35.77%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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