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Definitive Analysis

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Henderson International Income Trust plc (HINT.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - IncomeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.64 - $7.72$5.17
Multi-Stage$2.87 - $3.13$3.00
Blended Fair Value$4.08
Current Price$1.64
Upside148.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.52%19.75%0.080.070.000.060.060.050.050.040.020.02
YoY Growth--3.78%0.00%-100.00%1.95%15.36%9.00%18.78%69.36%32.29%38.82%
Dividend Yield--4.68%4.57%0.00%3.61%4.06%3.19%2.79%2.40%1.64%1.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)38.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)8.49
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.614.762.85
Cash Retained (M)8.498.498.49
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.61-4.76-2.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.883.745.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)195.98195.98195.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.020.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.020.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.160.170.18
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3.64$5.17$7.72
Upside / Downside122.02%215.18%370.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)38.0540.5243.1545.9648.9552.1353.69
Payout Ratio77.68%80.15%82.61%85.07%87.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29.5632.4835.6539.1042.8546.9149.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)29.2529.5229.80
Year 2 PV (M)28.9129.4630.02
Year 3 PV (M)28.5629.3830.21
Year 4 PV (M)28.1829.2630.38
Year 5 PV (M)27.7929.1330.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)420.24440.54461.62
Equity Value (M)562.92587.30612.55
Shares Outstanding (M)195.98195.98195.98
Fair Value$2.87$3.00$3.13
Upside / Downside75.14%82.73%90.58%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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