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Definitive Analysis

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Etteplan Oyj (ETTE.HE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.66 - $61.26$31.78
Multi-Stage$9.13 - $9.98$9.55
Blended Fair Value$20.66
Current Price$10.90
Upside89.57%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.20%13.25%0.300.360.400.340.350.300.230.160.120.12
YoY Growth---16.47%-9.58%17.83%-2.55%16.47%31.14%44.63%29.02%2.18%37.44%
Dividend Yield--2.51%2.63%2.56%2.09%2.10%4.38%2.73%2.02%1.73%2.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.25
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.560.980.59
Cash Retained (M)2.252.252.25
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.56-0.98-0.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.691.271.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)25.0925.0925.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.050.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.050.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.250.270.29
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate4.52%5.52%6.52%
Fair Value$13.66$31.78$61.26
Upside / Downside25.30%191.55%462.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7.808.238.699.169.6710.2010.51
Payout Ratio71.21%74.97%78.73%82.48%86.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.566.176.847.568.349.189.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate4.52%5.52%6.52%
Year 1 PV (M)5.745.805.85
Year 2 PV (M)5.926.046.15
Year 3 PV (M)6.106.276.45
Year 4 PV (M)6.266.506.75
Year 5 PV (M)6.426.737.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)198.56208.24218.30
Equity Value (M)229.00239.58250.56
Shares Outstanding (M)25.0925.0925.09
Fair Value$9.13$9.55$9.98
Upside / Downside-16.28%-12.41%-8.40%

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