Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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DSV A/S (DSV.CO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$644.44 - $1,142.74$855.00
Multi-Stage$503.58 - $549.45$526.11
Blended Fair Value$690.55
Current Price$1,522.00
Upside-54.63%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS29.37%18.96%6.876.385.914.122.631.891.701.531.461.27
YoY Growth--7.65%7.88%43.48%56.46%39.01%11.32%11.11%4.59%15.55%4.81%
Dividend Yield--0.52%0.56%0.45%0.32%0.21%0.31%0.31%0.32%0.41%0.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,160.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,683.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)8,477.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,032.001,270.00762.00
Cash Retained (M)8,477.008,477.008,477.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,032.00-1,270.00-762.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,445.007,207.007,715.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)223.26223.26223.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share28.8732.2834.56
LTM Dividend per Share7.547.547.54
(+) Excess Retained per Share28.8732.2834.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend36.4139.8242.09
WACC / Discount Rate11.46%11.46%11.46%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$644.44$855.00$1,142.74
Upside / Downside-57.66%-43.82%-24.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,160.0010,820.4011,523.7312,272.7713,070.5013,920.0814,337.68
Payout Ratio16.56%31.25%45.94%60.63%75.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,683.003,381.595,293.887,440.499,843.7812,528.0713,262.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate11.46%11.46%11.46%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,005.423,033.913,062.39
Year 2 PV (M)4,181.604,261.254,341.65
Year 3 PV (M)5,223.415,373.365,526.14
Year 4 PV (M)6,141.856,378.056,620.99
Year 5 PV (M)6,947.137,282.687,631.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)86,931.6691,130.4995,490.02
Equity Value (M)112,431.07117,459.73122,672.27
Shares Outstanding (M)223.26223.26223.26
Fair Value$503.58$526.11$549.45
Upside / Downside-66.91%-65.43%-63.90%

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