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Creepy Jar S.A. (CRJ.WA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electronic Gaming & MultimediaSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$213.14 - $324.92$265.51
Multi-Stage$453.01 - $498.38$475.25
Blended Fair Value$370.38
Current Price$440.00
Upside-15.82%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%12.8539.2120.480.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---67.23%91.50%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.64%7.00%2.48%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)17.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)9.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.432.141.29
Cash Retained (M)9.219.219.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.43-2.14-1.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)5.787.067.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.710.710.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.109.9011.10
LTM Dividend per Share11.1511.1511.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.109.9011.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend19.2421.0522.25
WACC / Discount Rate6.85%6.85%6.85%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$213.14$265.51$324.92
Upside / Downside-51.56%-39.66%-26.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)17.1616.9916.8216.6516.4816.3216.81
Payout Ratio46.34%55.07%63.80%72.54%81.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.959.3610.7312.0813.4014.6915.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.85%6.85%6.85%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)8.678.768.84
Year 2 PV (M)9.219.409.59
Year 3 PV (M)9.609.9010.20
Year 4 PV (M)9.8710.2810.70
Year 5 PV (M)10.0210.5511.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)275.80290.17305.12
Equity Value (M)323.18339.05355.55
Shares Outstanding (M)0.710.710.71
Fair Value$453.01$475.25$498.38
Upside / Downside2.96%8.01%13.27%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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