Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Bauer AG (B5A.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16.27 - $47.44$25.59
Multi-Stage$57.59 - $63.62$60.54
Blended Fair Value$43.07
Current Price$6.10
Upside606.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2021202020192018201720162015201420132012
DPS-16.86%-19.80%0.050.080.110.100.090.120.120.110.250.38
YoY Growth---42.42%-26.31%17.66%6.94%-25.58%0.99%9.44%-56.41%-33.78%-13.12%
Dividend Yield--0.52%0.75%1.13%0.61%0.47%0.85%0.82%0.61%1.31%1.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)18.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)17.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.622.261.36
Cash Retained (M)17.2117.2117.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.62-2.26-1.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.5914.9515.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.1326.1326.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.520.570.61
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.520.570.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.550.610.64
WACC / Discount Rate1.87%1.87%1.87%
Growth Rate-1.49%-0.49%0.51%
Fair Value$16.27$25.59$47.44
Upside / Downside166.69%319.55%677.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)18.1218.0317.9417.8517.7717.6818.21
Payout Ratio5.00%22.00%39.00%56.00%73.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.913.977.0010.0012.9715.9116.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.87%1.87%1.87%
Growth Rate-1.49%-0.49%0.51%
Year 1 PV (M)3.853.893.93
Year 2 PV (M)6.616.746.88
Year 3 PV (M)9.179.469.74
Year 4 PV (M)11.5712.0412.53
Year 5 PV (M)13.7914.5015.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,459.681,535.291,614.00
Equity Value (M)1,504.681,581.931,662.33
Shares Outstanding (M)26.1326.1326.13
Fair Value$57.59$60.54$63.62
Upside / Downside844.02%892.49%942.93%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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