Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Makmur Berkah Amanda Tbk (AMAN.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$197.50 - $321.44$253.02
Multi-Stage$577.35 - $637.40$606.77
Blended Fair Value$429.90
Current Price$101.00
Upside325.64%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%1.000.000.500.500.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.03%0.00%0.17%0.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)70,939.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,873.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)67,066.45
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14,187.998,867.495,320.50
Cash Retained (M)67,066.4567,066.4567,066.45
(-) Cash Required (M)-14,187.99-8,867.49-5,320.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)52,878.4658,198.9661,745.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,873.503,873.503,873.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share13.6515.0215.94
LTM Dividend per Share1.001.001.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share13.6515.0215.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend14.6516.0216.94
WACC / Discount Rate5.27%5.27%5.27%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$197.50$253.02$321.44
Upside / Downside95.54%150.51%218.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)70,939.9570,230.5569,528.2568,832.9768,144.6467,463.1969,487.09
Payout Ratio5.46%22.37%39.28%56.18%73.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,873.5015,709.3127,308.0238,673.1849,808.3160,716.8764,275.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.27%5.27%5.27%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)14,772.1214,922.8615,073.59
Year 2 PV (M)24,146.9124,642.2125,142.55
Year 3 PV (M)32,156.3533,150.8134,165.56
Year 4 PV (M)38,944.3440,558.4042,222.12
Year 5 PV (M)44,641.3746,965.9549,386.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,081,703.232,190,102.352,302,970.83
Equity Value (M)2,236,364.322,350,342.582,468,961.03
Shares Outstanding (M)3,873.503,873.503,873.50
Fair Value$577.35$606.77$637.40
Upside / Downside471.63%500.77%531.09%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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