DDM Analysis: ALWED.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$21.77 - $36.84	$28.34
Multi-Stage	$32.43 - $35.62	$34.00
Blended Fair Value	$31.17
Current Price	$30.40
Upside	2.54%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015	2014
DPS	-1.95%	0.00%	0.17	0.34	0.34	0.30	0.30	0.19	0.09	0.07	0.00	0.12
YoY Growth	-	-	-50.00%	-0.34%	13.67%	0.00%	60.00%	100.00%	29.03%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.70%	1.14%	0.71%	1.05%	1.20%	0.82%	0.49%	0.52%	0.00%	0.79%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	0.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1.20

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	0.30	0.19	0.11
Cash Retained (M)	1.20	1.20	1.20
(-) Cash Required (M)	-0.30	-0.19	-0.11
(=) Excess Retained (M)	0.89	1.01	1.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	0.85	0.85	0.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.04	1.18	1.27
LTM Dividend per Share	0.38	0.38	0.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.04	1.18	1.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.42	1.56	1.65
WACC / Discount Rate	7.42%	7.42%	7.42%
Growth Rate	0.83%	1.83%	2.83%
Fair Value	$21.77	$28.34	$36.84
Upside / Downside	-28.39%	-6.76%	21.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1.52	1.55	1.58	1.60	1.63	1.66	1.71
Payout Ratio	21.38%	35.11%	48.83%	62.55%	76.28%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	0.33	0.54	0.77	1.00	1.25	1.50	1.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.42%	7.42%	7.42%
Growth Rate	0.83%	1.83%	2.83%
Year 1 PV (M)	0.50	0.51	0.51
Year 2 PV (M)	0.65	0.67	0.68
Year 3 PV (M)	0.79	0.81	0.83
Year 4 PV (M)	0.90	0.94	0.97
Year 5 PV (M)	1.00	1.05	1.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)	23.85	25.06	26.31
Equity Value (M)	27.69	29.02	30.41
Shares Outstanding (M)	0.85	0.85	0.85
Fair Value	$32.43	$34.00	$35.62
Upside / Downside	6.69%	11.83%	17.18%

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Wedia S.A. (ALWED.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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