Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Voyageurs du Monde S.A. (ALVDM.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Travel ServicesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$424.87 - $968.54$618.54
Multi-Stage$305.08 - $333.80$319.18
Blended Fair Value$468.86
Current Price$170.00
Upside175.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.002.960.000.000.002.111.691.010.920.76
YoY Growth---100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%25.38%66.76%9.31%22.14%-0.06%
Dividend Yield--0.00%2.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.76%1.45%1.03%1.37%2.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)91.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)91.41
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.2811.436.86
Cash Retained (M)91.4191.4191.41
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.28-11.43-6.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)73.1379.9984.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.384.384.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share16.7118.2719.32
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share16.7118.2719.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend16.7118.2719.32
WACC / Discount Rate9.41%9.41%9.41%
Growth Rate5.27%6.27%7.27%
Fair Value$424.87$618.54$968.54
Upside / Downside149.92%263.85%469.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)91.4297.14103.23109.70116.58123.89127.60
Payout Ratio0.00%18.00%36.00%54.00%72.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.0017.4937.1759.2483.94111.50118.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.41%9.41%9.41%
Growth Rate5.27%6.27%7.27%
Year 1 PV (M)15.8315.9816.13
Year 2 PV (M)30.4731.0531.64
Year 3 PV (M)43.9745.2446.53
Year 4 PV (M)56.4158.5860.82
Year 5 PV (M)67.8471.1374.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,120.901,175.171,231.51
Equity Value (M)1,335.431,397.151,461.16
Shares Outstanding (M)4.384.384.38
Fair Value$305.08$319.18$333.80
Upside / Downside79.46%87.75%96.36%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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