Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Konami Group Corporation (9766.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electronic Gaming & MultimediaSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$105,568.04 - $124,377.03$116,559.50
Multi-Stage$77,092.97 - $84,610.41$80,781.48
Blended Fair Value$98,670.49
Current Price$21,350.00
Upside362.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS5.51%17.87%134.91123.90147.5485.5228.98103.1698.1470.7529.3923.50
YoY Growth--8.88%-16.02%72.52%195.06%-71.90%5.12%38.72%140.71%25.09%-9.82%
Dividend Yield--0.59%1.08%1.96%1.14%0.43%2.87%1.91%1.25%0.47%0.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)84,777.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)22,418.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)62,359.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16,955.4010,597.136,358.28
Cash Retained (M)62,359.0062,359.0062,359.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-16,955.40-10,597.13-6,358.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)45,403.6051,761.8856,000.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)135.56135.56135.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share334.94381.85413.12
LTM Dividend per Share165.38165.38165.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share334.94381.85413.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend500.32547.23578.50
WACC / Discount Rate0.83%0.83%0.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$105,568.04$116,559.50$124,377.03
Upside / Downside394.46%445.95%482.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)84,777.0090,287.5196,156.19102,406.35109,062.76116,151.84119,636.39
Payout Ratio26.44%39.15%51.87%64.58%77.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)22,418.0035,351.8949,872.4666,131.3584,293.19104,536.65110,663.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.83%0.83%0.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)34,732.6935,061.9135,391.13
Year 2 PV (M)48,140.6949,057.6449,983.23
Year 3 PV (M)62,716.9264,517.2966,351.80
Year 4 PV (M)78,540.8481,561.3084,668.05
Year 5 PV (M)95,696.80100,318.99105,118.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,130,569.7210,619,880.0211,127,917.38
Equity Value (M)10,450,397.6510,950,397.1511,469,429.68
Shares Outstanding (M)135.56135.56135.56
Fair Value$77,092.97$80,781.48$84,610.41
Upside / Downside261.09%278.37%296.30%

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