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Definitive Analysis

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Ryomo Systems Co.,Ltd. (9691.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18,042.61 - $97,408.28$35,351.82
Multi-Stage$10,550.81 - $11,553.51$11,042.93
Blended Fair Value$23,197.38
Current Price$3,135.00
Upside639.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020
DPS17.17%0.00%39.9939.0235.8239.1833.0018.100.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--2.48%8.92%-8.57%18.73%82.27%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.28%1.57%1.66%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,717.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)142.72
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,574.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)343.52214.70128.82
Cash Retained (M)1,574.881,574.881,574.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-343.52-214.70-128.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,231.361,360.181,446.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.503.503.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share351.95388.78413.32
LTM Dividend per Share40.7940.7940.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share351.95388.78413.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend392.75429.57454.11
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate5.25%6.25%7.25%
Fair Value$18,042.61$35,351.82$97,408.28
Upside / Downside475.52%1,027.65%3,007.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,717.601,824.961,939.042,060.242,189.022,325.852,395.63
Payout Ratio8.31%24.65%40.99%57.32%73.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)142.72449.81794.731,181.011,612.472,093.262,215.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate5.25%6.25%7.25%
Year 1 PV (M)414.33418.26422.20
Year 2 PV (M)674.29687.17700.16
Year 3 PV (M)923.00949.56976.62
Year 4 PV (M)1,160.801,205.551,251.58
Year 5 PV (M)1,388.051,455.251,525.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)32,352.9633,919.3935,545.92
Equity Value (M)36,913.4238,635.1840,421.51
Shares Outstanding (M)3.503.503.50
Fair Value$10,550.81$11,042.93$11,553.51
Upside / Downside236.55%252.25%268.53%

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