Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Banan Real Estate Company (9519.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.47 - $3.83$3.10
Multi-Stage$5.57 - $6.14$5.85
Blended Fair Value$4.48
Current Price$5.65
Upside-20.79%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.050.090.030.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---43.30%269.50%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.83%1.59%0.43%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)53.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)17.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)35.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.636.643.99
Cash Retained (M)35.9035.9035.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.63-6.64-3.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)25.2729.2631.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)200.00200.00200.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.150.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.150.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.210.230.25
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.47$3.10$3.83
Upside / Downside-56.24%-45.14%-32.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)53.1452.6052.0851.5651.0450.5352.05
Payout Ratio32.44%43.95%55.46%66.98%78.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)17.2423.1228.8834.5340.0645.4848.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)21.5121.7321.94
Year 2 PV (M)24.9925.5026.02
Year 3 PV (M)27.7928.6529.52
Year 4 PV (M)29.9931.2332.51
Year 5 PV (M)31.6633.3135.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)978.821,029.791,082.86
Equity Value (M)1,114.751,170.201,227.89
Shares Outstanding (M)200.00200.00200.00
Fair Value$5.57$5.85$6.14
Upside / Downside-1.35%3.56%8.66%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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