Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ocean One Holding Ltd. (8476.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.21 - $4.09$2.98
Multi-Stage$2.77 - $3.03$2.90
Blended Fair Value$2.94
Current Price$2.81
Upside4.52%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS8.18%0.00%0.040.040.030.030.020.030.020.000.040.05
YoY Growth--0.00%21.21%32.00%13.64%-18.52%22.73%0.00%-100.00%-20.63%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.42%1.92%4.40%3.25%2.68%3.65%2.93%0.00%2.90%3.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)41.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)30.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.325.203.12
Cash Retained (M)30.4230.4230.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.32-5.20-3.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)22.0925.2127.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)280.00280.00280.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.090.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.090.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.120.130.14
WACC / Discount Rate7.61%7.61%7.61%
Growth Rate2.11%3.11%4.11%
Fair Value$2.21$2.98$4.09
Upside / Downside-21.49%5.97%45.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)41.6242.9144.2445.6247.0448.5049.96
Payout Ratio26.91%39.53%52.15%64.77%77.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11.2016.9623.0729.5536.4043.6546.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.61%7.61%7.61%
Growth Rate2.11%3.11%4.11%
Year 1 PV (M)15.6115.7615.92
Year 2 PV (M)19.5419.9220.31
Year 3 PV (M)23.0323.7124.41
Year 4 PV (M)26.1027.1428.21
Year 5 PV (M)28.8130.2531.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)661.18694.20728.52
Equity Value (M)774.27810.98849.11
Shares Outstanding (M)280.00280.00280.00
Fair Value$2.77$2.90$3.03
Upside / Downside-1.59%3.07%7.92%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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