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Definitive Analysis

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Lasertec Corporation (6920.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$43,477.88 - $208,855.20$94,223.73
Multi-Stage$23,310.64 - $25,494.72$24,382.72
Blended Fair Value$59,303.23
Current Price$20,305.00
Upside192.06%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS54.40%44.72%271.81200.85116.9186.9346.9630.9818.9819.9812.7411.49
YoY Growth--35.33%71.80%34.49%85.10%51.61%63.16%-5.00%56.86%10.87%70.39%
Dividend Yield--1.34%0.85%0.50%0.59%0.18%0.36%0.56%1.05%1.10%2.38%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)94,779.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29,672.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)65,107.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18,955.8011,847.387,108.43
Cash Retained (M)65,107.0065,107.0065,107.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-18,955.80-11,847.38-7,108.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)46,151.2053,259.6357,998.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)90.2590.2590.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share511.37590.13642.64
LTM Dividend per Share328.78328.78328.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share511.37590.13642.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend840.15918.91971.42
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$43,477.88$94,223.73$208,855.20
Upside / Downside114.12%364.04%928.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)94,779.00100,939.64107,500.71114,488.26121,929.99129,855.44133,751.11
Payout Ratio31.31%43.05%54.78%66.52%78.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29,672.0043,449.6858,893.0976,160.5795,424.00116,869.90123,719.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)40,024.4140,403.7840,783.16
Year 2 PV (M)49,973.6450,925.5051,886.34
Year 3 PV (M)59,531.2861,240.2162,981.53
Year 4 PV (M)68,708.5871,350.9274,068.75
Year 5 PV (M)77,516.5481,260.6185,147.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,808,030.121,895,358.651,986,029.45
Equity Value (M)2,103,784.562,200,539.672,300,897.21
Shares Outstanding (M)90.2590.2590.25
Fair Value$23,310.64$24,382.72$25,494.72
Upside / Downside14.80%20.08%25.56%

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