DDM Analysis: 688314.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$43.12 - $217.85	$89.21
Multi-Stage	$23.80 - $26.02	$24.89
Blended Fair Value	$57.05
Current Price	$36.17
Upside	57.73%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
DPS	166.65%	0.00%	0.53	0.39	0.46	0.38	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	34.16%	-13.74%	20.38%	9,170.51%	4.38%	1,363.28%	7.17%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.00%	1.74%	1.27%	1.06%	0.01%	0.01%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	88.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	30.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)	57.71

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	17.68	11.05	6.63
Cash Retained (M)	57.71	57.71	57.71
(-) Cash Required (M)	-17.68	-11.05	-6.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)	40.03	46.66	51.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	80.70	80.70	80.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.50	0.58	0.63
LTM Dividend per Share	0.38	0.38	0.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.50	0.58	0.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.88	0.96	1.01
WACC / Discount Rate	7.64%	7.64%	7.64%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$43.12	$89.21	$217.85
Upside / Downside	19.21%	146.65%	502.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	88.40	94.15	100.27	106.78	113.72	121.12	124.75
Payout Ratio	34.72%	45.77%	56.83%	67.89%	78.94%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	30.69	43.09	56.98	72.49	89.78	109.01	115.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.64%	7.64%	7.64%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	39.66	40.03	40.41
Year 2 PV (M)	48.26	49.18	50.10
Year 3 PV (M)	56.50	58.12	59.77
Year 4 PV (M)	64.39	66.87	69.41
Year 5 PV (M)	71.95	75.42	79.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,639.95	1,719.16	1,801.40
Equity Value (M)	1,920.70	2,008.77	2,100.13
Shares Outstanding (M)	80.70	80.70	80.70
Fair Value	$23.80	$24.89	$26.02
Upside / Downside	-34.20%	-31.18%	-28.05%

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Kontour (Xi'an) Medical Technology Co., Ltd. (688314.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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