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Definitive Analysis

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MARTAS Precision Slide Co.,Ltd (6705.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Metal FabricationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$40.11 - $61.66$50.15
Multi-Stage$88.37 - $97.27$92.73
Blended Fair Value$71.44
Current Price$59.00
Upside21.08%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-15.14%0.00%0.411.410.000.940.790.941.070.941.100.00
YoY Growth---70.67%0.00%-100.00%18.85%-16.00%-12.00%13.97%-15.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.80%2.88%0.00%3.36%2.98%3.20%3.22%1.97%2.32%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)79.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)33.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)46.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.949.975.98
Cash Retained (M)46.6546.6546.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.94-9.97-5.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)30.7036.6840.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18.1318.1318.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.692.022.24
LTM Dividend per Share1.821.821.82
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.692.022.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.523.854.07
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$40.11$50.15$61.66
Upside / Downside-32.02%-15.01%4.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)79.7278.9278.1377.3576.5875.8178.09
Payout Ratio41.49%51.19%60.89%70.60%80.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)33.0840.4047.5854.6161.4968.2372.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)37.5237.9038.28
Year 2 PV (M)41.0341.8742.72
Year 3 PV (M)43.7345.0846.46
Year 4 PV (M)45.7347.6249.58
Year 5 PV (M)47.1249.5752.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,386.681,458.881,534.07
Equity Value (M)1,601.811,680.941,763.25
Shares Outstanding (M)18.1318.1318.13
Fair Value$88.37$92.73$97.27
Upside / Downside49.77%57.17%64.87%

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