Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Nissin Electric Co., Ltd. (6641.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6,958.20 - $20,374.77$19,085.93
Multi-Stage$9,895.20 - $10,907.74$10,391.57
Blended Fair Value$14,738.75
Current Price$1,259.00
Upside1,070.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS9.09%13.02%33.9931.9932.9933.9930.0022.0014.0012.0010.999.99
YoY Growth--6.26%-3.03%-2.95%13.32%36.37%57.15%16.69%9.11%10.02%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.23%2.28%3.15%2.84%2.94%1.85%0.93%1.38%1.65%1.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11,451.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)907.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)10,544.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,290.201,431.38858.83
Cash Retained (M)10,544.0010,544.0010,544.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,290.20-1,431.38-858.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)8,253.809,112.639,685.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)106.87106.87106.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share77.2385.2690.62
LTM Dividend per Share8.498.498.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share77.2385.2690.62
(=) Adjusted Dividend85.7293.7599.11
WACC / Discount Rate2.03%2.03%2.03%
Growth Rate0.79%1.79%2.79%
Fair Value$6,958.20$19,085.93$20,374.77
Upside / Downside452.68%1,415.96%1,518.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11,451.0011,655.9911,864.6612,077.0612,293.2612,513.3312,888.73
Payout Ratio7.92%24.34%40.75%57.17%73.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)907.002,836.674,835.146,904.259,045.8911,262.0011,922.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.03%2.03%2.03%
Growth Rate0.79%1.79%2.79%
Year 1 PV (M)2,752.872,780.182,807.49
Year 2 PV (M)4,553.684,644.494,736.19
Year 3 PV (M)6,310.256,499.956,693.40
Year 4 PV (M)8,023.418,346.608,679.45
Year 5 PV (M)9,693.9310,184.4610,694.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,026,209.961,078,138.451,132,148.13
Equity Value (M)1,057,544.101,110,594.121,165,759.33
Shares Outstanding (M)106.87106.87106.87
Fair Value$9,895.20$10,391.57$10,907.74
Upside / Downside685.96%725.38%766.38%

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