Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Silergy Corp. (6415.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$454.50 - $1,292.56$1,211.32
Multi-Stage$179.25 - $196.17$187.56
Blended Fair Value$699.44
Current Price$258.00
Upside171.10%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.16%16.56%1.914.364.292.461.731.481.331.090.390.82
YoY Growth---56.28%1.74%74.22%42.14%16.76%11.18%22.01%180.80%-52.23%97.81%
Dividend Yield--0.51%1.29%0.89%0.29%0.30%0.60%1.12%0.67%0.28%0.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,563.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)930.47
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,633.34
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)512.76320.48192.29
Cash Retained (M)1,633.341,633.341,633.34
(-) Cash Required (M)-512.76-320.48-192.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,120.571,312.861,441.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)394.47394.47394.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.843.333.65
LTM Dividend per Share2.362.362.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.843.333.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.205.696.01
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$454.50$1,211.32$1,292.56
Upside / Downside76.16%369.50%400.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,563.812,730.462,907.943,096.953,298.253,512.643,618.02
Payout Ratio36.29%47.03%57.78%68.52%79.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)930.471,284.241,680.082,121.942,614.153,161.383,346.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,192.221,203.521,214.83
Year 2 PV (M)1,447.941,475.511,503.35
Year 3 PV (M)1,697.711,746.441,796.10
Year 4 PV (M)1,941.652,016.322,093.12
Year 5 PV (M)2,179.852,285.142,394.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)62,251.3265,258.0868,379.91
Equity Value (M)70,710.6973,985.0277,381.78
Shares Outstanding (M)394.47394.47394.47
Fair Value$179.25$187.56$196.17
Upside / Downside-30.52%-27.30%-23.97%

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