Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Taiwan Union Technology Corporation (6274.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$290.72 - $1,011.08$479.57
Multi-Stage$275.79 - $301.98$288.64
Blended Fair Value$384.11
Current Price$314.50
Upside22.13%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.47%14.16%3.813.774.714.504.273.912.751.791.361.36
YoY Growth--1.24%-20.07%4.66%5.41%9.41%41.98%53.52%31.96%0.00%33.79%
Dividend Yield--2.46%2.06%6.62%5.39%3.58%3.20%2.52%1.81%2.65%5.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,031.03
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,797.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,234.03
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)606.21378.88227.33
Cash Retained (M)1,234.031,234.031,234.03
(-) Cash Required (M)-606.21-378.88-227.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)627.83855.151,006.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)285.78285.78285.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.202.993.52
LTM Dividend per Share6.296.296.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.202.993.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.499.289.81
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate3.65%4.65%5.65%
Fair Value$290.72$479.57$1,011.08
Upside / Downside-7.56%52.49%221.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,031.033,171.983,319.473,473.823,635.353,804.403,918.53
Payout Ratio59.29%65.43%71.57%77.71%83.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,797.002,075.402,375.812,699.673,048.513,423.963,624.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate3.65%4.65%5.65%
Year 1 PV (M)1,926.951,945.541,964.13
Year 2 PV (M)2,048.082,087.792,127.88
Year 3 PV (M)2,160.792,223.932,288.30
Year 4 PV (M)2,265.462,354.162,445.44
Year 5 PV (M)2,362.452,478.642,599.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)68,050.5171,397.1874,874.24
Equity Value (M)78,814.2382,487.2386,299.32
Shares Outstanding (M)285.78285.78285.78
Fair Value$275.79$288.64$301.98
Upside / Downside-12.31%-8.22%-3.98%

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