DDM Analysis: 601609.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$31.97 - $97.29	$91.17
Multi-Stage	$13.46 - $14.71	$14.07
Blended Fair Value	$52.62
Current Price	$12.39
Upside	324.72%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	20.21%	17.38%	0.38	0.33	0.32	0.28	0.21	0.15	0.19	0.08	0.09	0.07
YoY Growth	-	-	14.61%	2.65%	12.89%	33.76%	41.31%	-20.85%	124.99%	-10.29%	31.28%	-5.67%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.94%	5.23%	4.73%	3.63%	2.19%	1.59%	2.01%	0.89%	1.00%	0.76%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	762.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	501.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)	261.06

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	152.52	95.32	57.19
Cash Retained (M)	261.06	261.06	261.06
(-) Cash Required (M)	-152.52	-95.32	-57.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)	108.54	165.74	203.87
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,558.89	1,558.89	1,558.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.07	0.11	0.13
LTM Dividend per Share	0.32	0.32	0.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.07	0.11	0.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.39	0.43	0.45
WACC / Discount Rate	6.79%	6.79%	6.79%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$31.97	$91.17	$97.29
Upside / Downside	158.04%	635.85%	685.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	762.58	812.15	864.94	921.16	981.04	1,044.81	1,076.15
Payout Ratio	65.77%	70.61%	75.46%	80.31%	85.15%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	501.52	573.48	652.68	739.75	835.39	940.33	995.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.79%	6.79%	6.79%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	531.97	537.01	542.06
Year 2 PV (M)	561.61	572.31	583.11
Year 3 PV (M)	590.46	607.41	624.68
Year 4 PV (M)	618.52	642.31	666.77
Year 5 PV (M)	645.82	677.01	709.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)	18,032.25	18,903.22	19,807.51
Equity Value (M)	20,980.63	21,939.26	22,933.53
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,558.89	1,558.89	1,558.89
Fair Value	$13.46	$14.07	$14.71
Upside / Downside	8.63%	13.59%	18.74%

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Ningbo Jintian Copper(Group) Co., Ltd. (601609.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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