DDM Analysis: 601595.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2.36 - $3.56	$2.93
Multi-Stage	$4.91 - $5.41	$5.15
Blended Fair Value	$4.04
Current Price	$29.97
Upside	-86.52%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	1.61%	9.89%	0.22	0.09	0.00	0.01	0.10	0.20	0.22	0.22	0.00	0.09
YoY Growth	-	-	152.13%	8,042.81%	-79.63%	-94.86%	-49.61%	-9.91%	-0.42%	0.00%	-100.00%	11.68%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.71%	0.28%	0.01%	0.05%	0.79%	2.00%	1.73%	1.42%	0.00%	0.77%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	122.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	43.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)	78.56

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	24.41	15.26	9.15
Cash Retained (M)	78.56	78.56	78.56
(-) Cash Required (M)	-24.41	-15.26	-9.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)	54.15	63.31	69.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	440.30	440.30	440.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.12	0.14	0.16
LTM Dividend per Share	0.10	0.10	0.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.12	0.14	0.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.22	0.24	0.26
WACC / Discount Rate	7.01%	7.01%	7.01%
Growth Rate	-2.18%	-1.18%	-0.18%
Fair Value	$2.36	$2.93	$3.56
Upside / Downside	-92.12%	-90.23%	-88.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	122.06	120.62	119.20	117.79	116.40	115.03	118.48
Payout Ratio	35.64%	46.51%	57.38%	68.25%	79.13%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	43.50	56.10	68.40	80.40	92.10	103.52	109.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.01%	7.01%	7.01%
Growth Rate	-2.18%	-1.18%	-0.18%
Year 1 PV (M)	51.89	52.42	52.95
Year 2 PV (M)	58.53	59.73	60.94
Year 3 PV (M)	63.64	65.61	67.62
Year 4 PV (M)	67.44	70.24	73.12
Year 5 PV (M)	70.12	73.77	77.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,850.85	1,947.41	2,047.96
Equity Value (M)	2,162.46	2,269.19	2,380.19
Shares Outstanding (M)	440.30	440.30	440.30
Fair Value	$4.91	$5.15	$5.41
Upside / Downside	-83.61%	-82.80%	-81.96%

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Shanghai Film Co., Ltd. (601595.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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