Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Western Region Gold Co., Ltd. (601069.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: GoldSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.88 - $15.44$9.96
Multi-Stage$4.95 - $5.40$5.17
Blended Fair Value$7.57
Current Price$29.90
Upside-74.69%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.79%0.91%0.060.080.050.260.040.030.020.050.040.04
YoY Growth---29.31%50.65%-80.00%649.93%19.46%94.31%-71.67%48.63%-19.06%-13.32%
Dividend Yield--0.33%0.68%0.37%1.87%0.27%0.21%0.10%0.27%0.17%0.19%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)314.49
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)68.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)246.04
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)62.9039.3123.59
Cash Retained (M)246.04246.04246.04
(-) Cash Required (M)-62.90-39.31-23.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)183.14206.73222.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)916.78916.78916.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.200.230.24
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.200.230.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.270.300.32
WACC / Discount Rate9.71%9.71%9.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$6.88$9.96$15.44
Upside / Downside-76.99%-66.68%-48.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)314.49334.93356.70379.88404.58430.87443.80
Payout Ratio21.77%35.41%49.06%62.71%76.35%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)68.45118.60174.99238.21308.91387.79410.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.71%9.71%9.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)107.09108.11109.12
Year 2 PV (M)142.67145.39148.13
Year 3 PV (M)175.36180.40185.53
Year 4 PV (M)205.34213.23221.36
Year 5 PV (M)232.75244.00255.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,672.653,850.054,034.23
Equity Value (M)4,535.884,741.174,954.03
Shares Outstanding (M)916.78916.78916.78
Fair Value$4.95$5.17$5.40
Upside / Downside-83.45%-82.70%-81.93%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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