Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Zhejiang Jianfeng Group Co., Ltd. (600668.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.62 - $10.29$8.99
Multi-Stage$18.97 - $21.04$19.98
Blended Fair Value$14.49
Current Price$11.65
Upside24.34%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-15.78%-6.62%0.130.160.450.360.300.310.170.300.230.32
YoY Growth---19.78%-64.06%24.87%19.11%-1.21%76.98%-41.72%30.30%-28.90%24.50%
Dividend Yield--1.48%2.11%4.36%2.13%2.56%2.62%1.40%2.33%1.58%2.87%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)687.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)20.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)666.27
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)137.4385.8951.54
Cash Retained (M)666.27666.27666.27
(-) Cash Required (M)-137.43-85.89-51.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)528.84580.38614.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)413.17413.17413.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.281.401.49
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.281.401.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.331.461.54
WACC / Discount Rate7.33%7.33%7.33%
Growth Rate-8.62%-7.62%-6.62%
Fair Value$7.62$8.99$10.29
Upside / Downside-34.60%-22.85%-11.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)687.14634.76586.37541.67500.38462.24476.11
Payout Ratio3.04%20.43%37.82%55.21%72.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)20.87129.68221.78299.08363.31416.02440.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.33%7.33%7.33%
Growth Rate-8.62%-7.62%-6.62%
Year 1 PV (M)119.51120.82122.12
Year 2 PV (M)188.36192.51196.70
Year 3 PV (M)234.11241.88249.82
Year 4 PV (M)262.09273.75285.80
Year 5 PV (M)276.58292.04308.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,757.647,135.597,530.26
Equity Value (M)7,838.288,256.598,692.90
Shares Outstanding (M)413.17413.17413.17
Fair Value$18.97$19.98$21.04
Upside / Downside62.84%71.53%80.59%

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