DDM Analysis: 5347.KL

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$10.73 - $18.83	$14.18
Multi-Stage	$20.34 - $22.35	$21.33
Blended Fair Value	$17.75
Current Price	$14.38
Upside	23.46%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.39%	8.10%	0.53	0.44	0.37	0.79	0.90	0.52	0.50	0.38	0.28	0.28
YoY Growth	-	-	21.13%	16.33%	-52.25%	-12.75%	73.71%	2.80%	32.94%	34.75%	0.00%	16.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.84%	3.83%	4.06%	8.73%	8.89%	4.31%	3.99%	2.45%	2.00%	2.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	4,754.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2,964.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,790.30

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	950.98	594.36	356.62
Cash Retained (M)	1,790.30	1,790.30	1,790.30
(-) Cash Required (M)	-950.98	-594.36	-356.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)	839.32	1,195.94	1,433.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	5,817.25	5,817.25	5,817.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.14	0.21	0.25
LTM Dividend per Share	0.51	0.51	0.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.14	0.21	0.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.65	0.72	0.76
WACC / Discount Rate	6.28%	6.28%	6.28%
Growth Rate	0.18%	1.18%	2.18%
Fair Value	$10.73	$14.18	$18.83
Upside / Downside	-25.35%	-1.38%	30.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	4,754.90	4,810.97	4,867.69	4,925.09	4,983.16	5,041.92	5,193.18
Payout Ratio	62.35%	67.88%	73.41%	78.94%	84.47%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2,964.60	3,265.62	3,573.32	3,887.83	4,209.26	4,537.73	4,803.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.28%	6.28%	6.28%
Growth Rate	0.18%	1.18%	2.18%
Year 1 PV (M)	3,042.24	3,072.61	3,102.97
Year 2 PV (M)	3,101.18	3,163.41	3,226.25
Year 3 PV (M)	3,143.33	3,238.41	3,335.38
Year 4 PV (M)	3,170.42	3,298.91	3,431.28
Year 5 PV (M)	3,184.03	3,346.15	3,514.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)	102,708.82	107,938.44	113,378.96
Equity Value (M)	118,350.01	124,057.92	129,989.64
Shares Outstanding (M)	5,817.25	5,817.25	5,817.25
Fair Value	$20.34	$21.33	$22.35
Upside / Downside	41.48%	48.30%	55.39%

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Tenaga Nasional Berhad (5347.KL)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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