Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Westports Holdings Berhad (5246.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.68 - $27.45$12.76
Multi-Stage$7.57 - $8.29$7.92
Blended Fair Value$10.34
Current Price$5.40
Upside91.47%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.14%5.49%0.180.160.160.150.110.130.130.130.130.11
YoY Growth--12.52%-3.34%8.15%32.36%-13.47%-2.10%2.13%-0.06%14.04%11.14%
Dividend Yield--3.65%4.12%4.50%3.74%2.69%3.87%3.67%3.64%3.23%2.78%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)943.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)673.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)270.34
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)188.76117.9870.79
Cash Retained (M)270.34270.34270.34
(-) Cash Required (M)-188.76-117.98-70.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)81.58152.36199.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,410.003,410.003,410.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.040.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.040.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.220.240.26
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate3.52%4.52%5.52%
Fair Value$7.68$12.76$27.45
Upside / Downside42.24%136.23%408.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)943.82986.511,031.131,077.761,126.511,177.461,212.79
Payout Ratio71.36%75.09%78.81%82.54%86.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)673.48740.72812.67889.61971.861,059.721,121.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate3.52%4.52%5.52%
Year 1 PV (M)688.81695.46702.12
Year 2 PV (M)702.76716.40730.17
Year 3 PV (M)715.38736.31757.65
Year 4 PV (M)726.75755.24784.56
Year 5 PV (M)736.91773.20810.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)22,242.0723,337.2824,475.22
Equity Value (M)25,812.6827,013.9028,260.62
Shares Outstanding (M)3,410.003,410.003,410.00
Fair Value$7.57$7.92$8.29
Upside / Downside40.18%46.70%53.47%

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