Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Sunway Berhad (5211.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.19 - $1.71$1.45
Multi-Stage$1.82 - $2.00$1.90
Blended Fair Value$1.68
Current Price$5.65
Upside-70.35%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-6.23%0.21%0.030.030.030.020.030.040.050.030.030.10
YoY Growth---23.81%3.87%46.39%-31.10%-9.18%-25.57%43.02%3.96%-66.58%281.11%
Dividend Yield--0.58%1.00%2.09%1.30%1.94%2.34%2.92%2.29%2.43%7.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,137.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)139.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)997.97
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)227.42142.1485.28
Cash Retained (M)997.97997.97997.97
(-) Cash Required (M)-227.42-142.14-85.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)770.55855.83912.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6,688.346,688.346,688.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.120.130.14
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.120.130.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.140.150.16
WACC / Discount Rate9.42%9.42%9.42%
Growth Rate-1.79%-0.79%0.21%
Fair Value$1.19$1.45$1.71
Upside / Downside-78.90%-74.40%-69.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,137.111,128.181,119.311,110.521,101.801,093.141,125.93
Payout Ratio12.24%27.79%43.34%58.89%74.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)139.14313.51485.13654.03820.26983.831,041.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.42%9.42%9.42%
Growth Rate-1.79%-0.79%0.21%
Year 1 PV (M)283.64286.52289.41
Year 2 PV (M)397.08405.21413.42
Year 3 PV (M)484.32499.27514.52
Year 4 PV (M)549.54572.26595.69
Year 5 PV (M)596.32627.30659.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,835.9510,346.9910,879.06
Equity Value (M)12,146.8512,737.5613,351.65
Shares Outstanding (M)6,688.346,688.346,688.34
Fair Value$1.82$1.90$2.00
Upside / Downside-67.86%-66.29%-64.67%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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