Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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United International Transportation Company (4260.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Rental & Leasing ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$84.65 - $186.26$121.75
Multi-Stage$96.77 - $106.09$101.35
Blended Fair Value$111.55
Current Price$72.40
Upside54.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-5.66%4.48%1.381.851.661.710.921.841.380.990.990.90
YoY Growth---25.34%11.17%-2.71%85.03%-50.00%33.33%40.00%0.00%10.29%0.74%
Dividend Yield--1.71%2.13%2.85%3.30%2.10%6.76%4.26%2.54%3.99%3.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)342.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)113.44
(=) Cash Retained (M)228.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)68.4242.7625.66
Cash Retained (M)228.65228.65228.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-68.42-42.76-25.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)160.23185.89203.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)77.1577.1577.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.082.412.63
LTM Dividend per Share1.471.471.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.082.412.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.553.884.10
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate2.80%3.80%4.80%
Fair Value$84.65$121.75$186.26
Upside / Downside16.92%68.17%157.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)342.10355.10368.59382.60397.14412.24424.61
Payout Ratio33.16%44.53%55.90%67.26%78.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)113.44158.12206.03257.36312.28371.01392.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate2.80%3.80%4.80%
Year 1 PV (M)146.21147.63149.05
Year 2 PV (M)176.15179.59183.07
Year 3 PV (M)203.45209.44215.55
Year 4 PV (M)228.26237.28246.55
Year 5 PV (M)250.76263.19276.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,461.306,781.747,114.76
Equity Value (M)7,466.127,818.878,185.11
Shares Outstanding (M)77.1577.1577.15
Fair Value$96.77$101.35$106.09
Upside / Downside33.67%39.98%46.54%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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