Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Rakus Co., Ltd. (3923.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$496.93 - $1,065.15$708.12
Multi-Stage$353.91 - $386.97$370.14
Blended Fair Value$539.13
Current Price$1,158.25
Upside-53.45%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS16.37%31.92%1.170.970.950.880.800.550.360.240.150.11
YoY Growth--20.40%2.62%8.52%9.36%45.56%51.58%48.72%62.50%42.95%42.86%
Dividend Yield--0.10%0.10%0.08%0.11%0.05%0.12%0.11%0.10%0.11%0.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9,469.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)212.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)9,256.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,893.801,183.63710.18
Cash Retained (M)9,256.509,256.509,256.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,893.80-1,183.63-710.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)7,362.708,072.888,546.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)362.12362.12362.12
(=) Excess Retained per Share20.3322.2923.60
LTM Dividend per Share0.590.590.59
(+) Excess Retained per Share20.3322.2923.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend20.9222.8824.19
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$496.93$708.12$1,065.15
Upside / Downside-57.10%-38.86%-8.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9,469.0010,084.4910,739.9811,438.0712,181.5512,973.3513,362.55
Payout Ratio2.24%19.80%37.35%54.90%72.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)212.501,996.264,011.016,279.248,825.3911,676.0212,360.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,798.701,815.751,832.80
Year 2 PV (M)3,256.413,318.433,381.04
Year 3 PV (M)4,593.414,725.274,859.63
Year 4 PV (M)5,817.086,040.786,270.88
Year 5 PV (M)6,934.397,269.327,617.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)105,758.51110,866.68116,170.36
Equity Value (M)128,158.49134,036.24140,131.79
Shares Outstanding (M)362.12362.12362.12
Fair Value$353.91$370.14$386.97
Upside / Downside-69.44%-68.04%-66.59%

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