Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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09WOMEN Co., Ltd. (366030.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Sector:

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,137.67 - $3,076.56$2,595.84
Multi-Stage$3,466.32 - $3,806.80$3,633.27
Blended Fair Value$3,114.55
Current Price$4,660.00
Upside-33.16%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%118.82175.43132.30132.300.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---32.27%32.60%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.05%3.00%1.47%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,912.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,038.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,873.66
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,382.50864.06518.44
Cash Retained (M)4,873.664,873.664,873.66
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,382.50-864.06-518.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,491.164,009.604,355.22
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.8422.8422.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share152.83175.52190.65
LTM Dividend per Share89.2589.2589.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share152.83175.52190.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend242.08264.78279.91
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2,137.67$2,595.84$3,076.56
Upside / Downside-54.13%-44.30%-33.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,912.516,843.386,774.956,707.206,640.126,573.726,770.94
Payout Ratio29.50%41.60%53.70%65.80%77.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,038.852,846.573,637.944,413.205,172.595,916.356,263.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)2,582.842,609.192,635.55
Year 2 PV (M)2,995.053,056.493,118.55
Year 3 PV (M)3,296.683,398.633,502.66
Year 4 PV (M)3,505.943,651.253,801.02
Year 5 PV (M)3,638.523,827.984,025.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)63,164.5566,453.6869,878.42
Equity Value (M)79,183.5782,997.2186,961.45
Shares Outstanding (M)22.8422.8422.84
Fair Value$3,466.32$3,633.27$3,806.80
Upside / Downside-25.62%-22.03%-18.31%

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