Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Wuxi Hodgen Technology Co., Ltd. (300279.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22.36 - $26.34$24.69
Multi-Stage$16.53 - $18.15$17.33
Blended Fair Value$21.01
Current Price$7.56
Upside177.86%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-14.00%7.47%0.040.060.050.050.070.090.110.090.070.05
YoY Growth---33.85%18.37%0.73%-22.97%-22.60%-23.10%24.21%34.47%24.37%173.66%
Dividend Yield--0.65%1.20%0.92%0.73%1.43%1.51%1.64%0.70%0.49%0.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)64.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11.58
(=) Cash Retained (M)53.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.988.114.87
Cash Retained (M)53.3053.3053.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.98-8.11-4.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)40.3345.1948.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)489.19489.19489.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.090.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.090.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.110.120.12
WACC / Discount Rate0.43%0.43%0.43%
Growth Rate5.35%6.35%7.35%
Fair Value$22.36$24.69$26.34
Upside / Downside195.73%226.53%248.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)64.8869.0073.3978.0583.0088.2790.92
Payout Ratio17.85%32.28%46.71%61.14%75.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11.5822.2734.2847.7262.7379.4584.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.43%0.43%0.43%
Growth Rate5.35%6.35%7.35%
Year 1 PV (M)21.9722.1822.39
Year 2 PV (M)33.3533.9934.63
Year 3 PV (M)45.8047.1148.45
Year 4 PV (M)59.3861.6764.02
Year 5 PV (M)74.1977.7881.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,853.688,233.578,628.01
Equity Value (M)8,088.378,476.298,879.01
Shares Outstanding (M)489.19489.19489.19
Fair Value$16.53$17.33$18.15
Upside / Downside118.71%129.20%140.09%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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