Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Hyundai Construction Equipment Co., Ltd. (267270.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$45,673.31 - $69,051.77$56,689.65
Multi-Stage$90,200.77 - $99,395.82$94,707.60
Blended Fair Value$75,698.63
Current Price$92,900.00
Upside-18.52%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172015
DPS-4.96%0.00%749.171,925.531,344.502,568.56979.03966.01141.900.000.000.00
YoY Growth---61.09%43.22%-47.66%162.36%1.35%580.75%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.14%3.27%2.58%6.94%1.82%6.44%0.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)90,235.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,814.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)81,420.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18,047.0811,279.436,767.66
Cash Retained (M)81,420.5281,420.5281,420.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-18,047.08-11,279.43-6,767.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)63,373.4370,141.0974,652.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.0117.0117.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share3,726.154,124.074,389.34
LTM Dividend per Share518.29518.29518.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share3,726.154,124.074,389.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend4,244.444,642.354,907.63
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$45,673.31$56,689.65$69,051.77
Upside / Downside-50.84%-38.98%-25.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)90,235.4289,333.0688,439.7387,555.3386,679.7885,812.9888,387.37
Payout Ratio9.77%25.82%41.86%57.91%73.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,814.9023,061.3537,021.9950,701.1264,102.9577,231.6981,758.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)21,313.6121,531.1021,748.59
Year 2 PV (M)31,623.1032,271.7632,927.01
Year 3 PV (M)40,025.2941,263.1042,526.17
Year 4 PV (M)46,769.9948,708.3950,706.43
Year 5 PV (M)52,078.3354,790.1757,613.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,342,301.871,412,198.651,484,977.31
Equity Value (M)1,534,112.201,610,763.171,690,499.32
Shares Outstanding (M)17.0117.0117.01
Fair Value$90,200.77$94,707.60$99,395.82
Upside / Downside-2.91%1.95%6.99%

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